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Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 PM EDT Wed Oct 14 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad area of low pressure near the Lesser Antilles continues to

produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms,

mainly to the east of its center. Strong upper-level winds are

expected to inhibit significant development while the system moves

west-northwestward over the next couple of days. Regardless of

development, the system could produce locally heavy rainfall and

gusty winds across portions of the Lesser Antilles tonight and

Thursday morning, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the eastern

Caribbean Sea late Thursday into Friday, and Hispaniola Friday

night into Saturday.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. A broad non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form over

the weekend several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda. Some slow

development will be possible thereafter into early next week

while the system moves southwestward and then westward, passing

about midway between Bermuda and the northern Lesser Antilles.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

3. A broad area of low pressure could form by early next week over

the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Some gradual development of the

system will be possible thereafter while it moves slowly

west-northwestward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Stewart