The National Hurricane Center in Miami says that a trough of low pressure has the potential for formation later this week in the Gulf of Mexico.
As of Tuesday, it was located over the Yucatan Peninsula and was forecast to move northward over the Gulf where forecasters give it a 40% chance of development by Sunday.
The following is the full statement by the National Hurricane Center:
A trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the Yucatan peninsula, northern Guatemala, southeastern Mexico, and adjacent waters of the Bay of Campeche. This disturbance and another tropical system over the eastern Pacific Ocean are expected to produce heavy rains across a large portion of Central America during the next couple of days, which could cause flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas. By late Wednesday, the disturbance is forecast to emerge over the Bay of Campeche and gradually turn northward. Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for some development by Thursday and Friday when the system is located over the western Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours (Tuesday-Thursday)...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days (Friday-Sunday)...medium...40 percent.