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Jasper County Judge Mark Allen summed it up perfectly; “It looks like the old John Madden NFL telestrator.” Judge Allen was referring to the current map of the tropics put out by the National Hurricane Center. There are seven tropical systems on the map, including Sally, which went in at Gulf Shores, Alabama early Wednesday morning as a category 2 hurricane. Pensacola, Florida took a beating from the storm for well over 24 hours.

Judge Allen said he and other local leaders are closely monitoring the tropics, especially two systems.

One is in the far south Gulf of Mexico that formed about a week ago and has meandered southward. That system now has a 70% chance of development.

The other is a disturbance in the Atlantic Ocean just off the coast of Africa which also has a 70% chance of development and is aimed generally toward the Gulf of Mexico.

The following statement from the National Hurricane Center in Miami, FL was issued on Wednesday, September 16th:

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 PM EDT Wed Sep 16 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Paulette, located several hundred miles east-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland, and is issuing advisories on Sally, located over the far western portion of the Florida panhandle, on Hurricane Teddy, located over the central tropical Atlantic, and on Tropical Storm Vicky, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic.

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico gradually continue to become better organized. Upper-level winds are forecast to gradually become more conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or over the weekend while the low meanders over the southern Gulf of Mexico for the next several days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are conducive for development of this system and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while the system moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

3. A non-tropical area of low pressure is located over the far northeastern Atlantic Ocean a few hundred miles northeast of the Azores. This system could acquire some subtropical characteristics while it moves southeastward and eastward at about 10 mph during the next few days. For more information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Roberts

Broadcast journalist & on-air personality - Rayburn Broadcasting Company - KJAS 107.3 FM in Jasper, TX and KFAH 99.1 FM in Pineland, TX